Florida Governor GOP Primary
Daily weighted average across included polls using recency, sample size, LV/RV/A adjustments, and PSI Gold Standard upweighting.
Leader
Byron Donalds
40.1%
Runner-up
James Fishback
13.2%
Lead
Byron Donalds +26.9
Average spread
Polls
13
Included in model
Polling average
Candidate trendlines over time; Hover to view data
Hover for daily values
Byron DonaldsJames FishbackJay CollinsPaul Renner
This chart displays daily weighted averages, not raw poll points.
Included polls
Sorted by end date
| Pollster | End date | N | Type | Weight | Byron Donalds | James Fishback | Jay Collins | Paul Renner | Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Patriot Polling (R)Gold | 2026-01-29 | 827(eff 3,308) | LV | ×2.00 | 37% | 23% | — | — | — | 40% |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2026-01-13 | 400 | RV | ×1.00 | 37% | 3% | 7% | 4% | — | 49% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) — Ballot Test 3 | 2026-01-06 | 600 | LV | ×1.00 | 47% | 5% | — | 4% | — | 43% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) — Ballot Test 2 | 2026-01-06 | 600 | LV | ×1.00 | 39% | 3% | — | 1% | 26% | 31% |
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates (R) | 2026-01-06 | 600 | LV | ×1.00 | 45% | 4% | 6% | 3% | — | 41% |
Public Opinion Strategies (R) | 2025-12-11 | 700 | RV | ×1.00 | 40% | — | 13% | — | 9% | 38% |
The Tyson Group (R) | 2025-12-09 | 800 | LV | ×1.00 | 38% | 2% | 9% | 1% | — | 49% |
The American Promise | 2025-11-19 | 800 | LV | ×1.00 | 43% | 0% | 1% | 2% | — | 54% |
Victory Insights (R) | 2025-11-13 | 600 | LV | ×1.00 | 45% | 1% | 1% | 3% | — | 49% |
St. Pete Polls — Ballot Test 2 | 2025-10-15 | 1,034 | LV | ×1.00 | 52% | — | 12% | — | — | 36% |
St. Pete Polls | 2025-10-15 | 1,034 | LV | ×1.00 | 39% | — | 4% | 3% | — | 54% |
Targoz Market Research | 2025-09-18 | 506 | RV | ×1.00 | 29% | — | — | 9% | — | 62% |
The American Promise | 2025-09-05 | 800 | LV | ×1.00 | 40% | — | 2% | 2% | — | 54% |