Florida · 2026 Governor · Republican Primary
Florida Governor
Republican
Primary
Polling average across all included polls — recency decay, √n sample adjustment, and LV/RV screen weighting.
LIVE TRACKING15 POLLS IN MODELRECENCY · √N · LV/RV
DONALDS37.6%
FISHBACK6.8%
COLLINS4.1%
RENNER1.8%
CURRENT AVERAGES
Donalds
37.6%
Daily weighted avg
Fishback
6.8%
Daily weighted avg
Collins
4.1%
Daily weighted avg
Renner
1.8%
Daily weighted avg
Polls
15
Included in model
TRENDLINE
Florida Republican Governor Primary polling average
Donalds, Collins, Fishback & Renner trendlines — hover to view daily values
HOVER FOR VALUES
CollinsDonaldsFishbackRenner
ALL INCLUDED POLLS
** INTERNAL / PARTISAN POLLSORTED BY END DATE ↓
| POLLSTER | END DATE | N | TYPE | DONALDS | COLLINS | FISHBACK | RENNER | SPREAD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
The American Promise | 2026-02-26 | 800 | LV | 44% | 4% | 5% | 2% | Donalds +39.0 |
University of North Florida | 2026-02-20 | 657 | LV | 31% | 4% | 6% | 1% | Donalds +25.0 |
The Public Sentiment Institute | 2026-02-20 | — | RV | 29% | 7% | 5% | 1% | Donalds +22.0 |
The Public Sentiment Institute | 2026-02-20 | — | LV | 30% | 12% | 8% | 2% | Donalds +18.0 |
Targoz Market ResearchINTERNAL | 2026-02-16 | 401 | RV | 33% | 15% | 3% | 9% | Donalds +18.0 |
Patriot PollingINTERNAL | 2026-01-29 | 827 | LV | 37% | — | 23% | — | Donalds +14.0 |
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2026-01-13 | 400 | RV | 37% | 7% | 3% | 4% | Donalds +30.0 |
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesINTERNAL | 2026-01-06 | 600 | LV | 45% | 6% | 4% | 3% | Donalds +39.0 |
Public Opinion StrategiesINTERNAL | 2025-12-11 | 700 | RV | 40% | 13% | — | — | Donalds +27.0 |
The Tyson GroupINTERNAL | 2025-12-09 | 800 | LV | 38% | 9% | 2% | 1% | Donalds +29.0 |
The American Promise | 2025-11-19 | 800 | LV | 43% | 1% | — | 2% | Donalds +41.0 |
Victory InsightsINTERNAL | 2025-11-13 | 600 | LV | 45% | 1% | 1% | 3% | Donalds +42.0 |
St. Pete Polls | 2025-10-15 | 1,034 | LV | 39% | 4% | — | 3% | Donalds +35.0 |
Targoz Market ResearchINTERNAL | 2025-09-18 | 506 | RV | 29% | — | — | 9% | Donalds +20.0 |
The American Promise | 2025-09-05 | 800 | LV | 40% | 2% | — | 2% | Donalds +38.0 |
METHODOLOGY
Polling averages are computed using a daily weighted model incorporating recency decay, square-root sample size adjustment, and screen type (LV/RV/A) weighting. Polls marked ** are internal or partisan and may carry reduced weight. All candidates with 0% in a given poll are excluded from that poll's spread calculation.