ELECTION TOOLS · RACE RATINGS
2026 Race
Ratings
Model-based ratings for U.S. Senate and Governor races. Hover any state for full details — margin projections, approval ratings, and win probability.
LIVE MODELSENATE · 35 RACESGOVERNORS · 36 RACES2026 MIDTERMS
U.S. SENATE · 2026
35 seats rated · hover states for details
D FAVORED 1718 R FAVORED
LegendSafe DLikely DLean DTilt DTilt RLean RLikely RSafe R
Gray states have no Senate race in 2026. Ratings based on model margin, PVI, incumbent approval, and Trump approval.
GOVERNORS · 2026
36 seats rated · hover states for details
D FAVORED 2016 R FAVORED
LegendSafe DLikely DLean DTilt DTilt RLean RLikely RSafe R
Gray states have no Governor race in 2026. Ratings based on model margin, PVI, incumbent approval, and Trump approval.